Bitcoin most 'undervalued' since March 2023 at $20K, BTC price metric shows
Overview
Recent on-chain analysis of Bitcoin suggests a potential shift in the current price trend, indicating that Bitcoin may be the most “undervalued” it has been since March 2023. This assessment is based on the movement of the MVRV ratio, which has reached levels not observed in three years.
Current Situation
The MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) ratio is an important metric used in the analysis of Bitcoin’s price. It helps investors gauge whether Bitcoin is overvalued or undervalued relative to its historical price movements. The recent data indicates that the MVRV ratio has returned to levels that have not been seen in a significant amount of time, specifically three years.
This resurgence of the MVRV ratio could signal a potential end to the ongoing downtrend in Bitcoin’s price. The implication here is that as the MVRV ratio reflects a more favorable valuation for Bitcoin, it may attract more investors who perceive the asset as undervalued.
The significance of this development cannot be understated. When the MVRV ratio indicates undervaluation, it tends to correlate with increased buying activity and market optimism. Investors often look to such metrics to inform their decisions, and a shift towards a more favorable MVRV ratio could lead to a change in sentiment within the market.
From author
The recent data on Bitcoin’s MVRV ratio highlights a crucial moment for the cryptocurrency. The fact that this metric has not been at such levels for three years suggests that market conditions may be changing. Investors should pay close attention to how this metric evolves, as it may provide insights into future price movements.
The historical context of the MVRV ratio also provides a framework for understanding potential market cycles. When the ratio indicates undervaluation, it may signal a buying opportunity for those looking to enter the market or increase their positions. However, it is important for investors to consider a range of factors beyond just this metric when making decisions.
Impact on the crypto market
- The return of the MVRV ratio to historical levels may encourage more investors to enter the Bitcoin market.
- A perceived undervaluation could lead to increased buying activity, potentially stabilizing or driving up Bitcoin’s price.
- The analysis may attract attention from institutional investors, who often look for signals indicating favorable market conditions.
- Greater market optimism could result from this analysis, influencing broader sentiment towards other cryptocurrencies.
- If the trend continues, it may affect the overall dynamics of supply and demand in the cryptocurrency market.
Updated: 2/13/2026, 6:44:40 PM