1/21/2026 478 words 2 min read

XRP flashes signal that last triggered 68% price drop

XRP flashes signal that last triggered 68% price drop

Overview

A recent analysis of XRP’s cost-basis metric has indicated a bearish signal that suggests a significant price drop may be on the horizon. This projection is compounded by a deteriorating technical structure and outflows related to spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs). The current market situation raises questions about whether bulls will be able to defend XRP’s critical price support.

The Bearish Signal

The bearish signal from XRP’s cost-basis metric is a concerning development for investors. Cost-basis metrics help determine the average price at which an asset has been purchased, and a bearish reading indicates that the current market sentiment is shifting negatively. This is particularly important in the context of XRP, as a decline in price could lead to a loss of confidence among traders and long-term holders.

Additionally, the weakening technical structure of XRP suggests that the momentum driving its price may be faltering. Technical analysis often relies on various indicators to gauge the strength of a price trend. A weakening structure implies that the current trend may not sustain itself, increasing the likelihood of further declines.

The situation is exacerbated by outflows from spot ETFs, which can indicate that investors are moving their capital away from XRP. Spot ETFs typically hold the underlying asset, and significant outflows may reflect a lack of confidence in the asset’s future performance. This could lead to increased selling pressure, further pushing down XRP’s price.

The Importance of Price Support

Price support levels are critical areas where buying interest typically emerges, potentially preventing further declines. The question now remains whether bulls will step in to defend XRP’s critical price support. If they fail to do so, it could lead to a more pronounced decline in price, reminiscent of previous market movements.

The dynamics of price support are crucial for any cryptocurrency, particularly in a market as volatile as the one XRP operates in. A breakdown below key support levels could trigger a wave of selling, influencing not only XRP but also the broader cryptocurrency market.

From author

The current situation surrounding XRP presents a complex interplay of technical analysis and market sentiment. Investors are closely monitoring the cost-basis metric, technical structures, and ETF flows to gauge the future trajectory of XRP’s price. Understanding these factors is essential for making informed decisions in a rapidly changing market landscape.

Impact on the crypto market

  • The bearish signal from XRP could set a precedent for other cryptocurrencies, affecting market sentiment.
  • A decline in XRP’s price may lead to increased volatility across the market, influencing trading strategies.
  • Outflows from spot ETFs may signal broader investor sentiment shifts, impacting the overall crypto ecosystem.
  • Failure to maintain critical price support could lead to a cascade of selling across various assets.
  • The current market conditions highlight the importance of technical analysis in predicting price movements and investor behavior.
Source: Cointelegraph (RSS)

Updated: 1/21/2026, 9:28:46 PM

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