Only 1 Week Left As XRP RSI Breakout Sets Up $10 Path, Analyst Predicts
Overview
XRP is currently experiencing a consolidation phase on the weekly chart, characterized by a post-breakout range. Analyst Maelius believes that the next significant movement in XRP’s price will be indicated by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), with expectations for a breakout that may lead to higher prices.
Current Market Situation
XRP has been compressing into a defined range following a breakout, as noted in the analysis by Maelius. This range is delineated by two key levels: the upper boundary is near the previous spike high of approximately $3.33, which was reached in 2018, while the lower boundary is situated just above $1.60. At the time of analysis, XRP was trading around $2.124, just below the 50-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which is considered a crucial pivot point.
The recent price movement of XRP suggests a transition phase rather than a complete trend reversal. Maelius identifies the current price action as a corrective wave 4, indicating that the trend is merely pausing rather than being broken. He posits that there is a limited timeframe for the market to resolve this consolidation and move toward wave 5, should momentum confirm this trajectory.
The analysis draws parallels to XRP’s price movements in 2017, where the asset saw a significant increase followed by a consolidation period. In that historical context, XRP experienced a substantial rally, followed by a long consolidation before another major price surge. The current market dynamics are presented as similar in structure, with a potential for another upward leg following the ongoing consolidation.
Maelius emphasizes the importance of the RSI in determining the next price movement. He notes a descending trendline in the RSI that must be broken for the price to sustain its next upward phase. The implication is clear: the momentum needs to break free from its current compression before XRP can enter a new expansion phase.
If the price successfully reclaims the 50-week EMA, it may signal a return to higher price levels, potentially approaching the previous highs near $3.33. Conversely, failure to break through the EMA or a drop below the range floor could prolong the corrective phase and hinder the anticipated wave 5 movement.
From author
The analysis of XRP’s current market position highlights the significance of technical indicators such as the RSI and EMA in forecasting future price movements. The juxtaposition of past price behavior with current trends provides a framework for understanding potential outcomes. As XRP navigates this crucial phase, the interplay between momentum and price action will be critical in determining its next steps.
Impact on the crypto market
- The potential breakout in XRP could influence investor sentiment across the broader cryptocurrency market.
- A successful move above the 50-week EMA may lead to increased trading volume and interest in XRP.
- The correlation with historical price movements may attract traders looking for patterns to capitalize on.
- A failure to maintain the current price range could trigger negative sentiment and lead to further consolidation or decline in XRP’s value.
- Analysts and traders will closely monitor the RSI as a key indicator of momentum and potential price direction in the coming weeks.
Updated: 1/6/2026, 12:42:22 PM