1/17/2026 554 words 3 min read

Dogecoin RSI Just Entered Historical Oversold Levels Again, Will It Repeat 2021?

Dogecoin RSI Just Entered Historical Oversold Levels Again, Will It Repeat 2021?

Overview

The Dogecoin Relative Strength Index (RSI) has recently entered historical oversold levels, prompting speculation about the potential for a significant rally similar to the one seen during the 2021 bull cycle. This situation has drawn attention from analysts who highlight previous instances of oversold RSI conditions leading to substantial price gains for the meme coin.

Dogecoin’s Oversold RSI and Potential Rally

According to the crypto analyst Cryptollica, Dogecoin’s current RSI level marks the fourth occurrence of such oversold conditions in a 12-year span. Each previous instance has been associated with transformative price movements, suggesting that current market conditions could present a significant buying opportunity. Cryptollica emphasizes that historically, these oversold levels have led to “epic buying opportunities,” where investors who capitalized on the situation reaped considerable profits.

The analyst pointed out that during the last cycle’s bottom, Dogecoin’s price fell to a certain level before experiencing a dramatic rally to a new all-time high (ATH). This historical context raises the possibility that Dogecoin could repeat this pattern, potentially reaching new heights again. Cryptollica’s analysis includes a chart indicating that the current setup could lead Dogecoin to test the psychological $1 level.

Historical Patterns and Market Dynamics

In a separate analysis, Cryptollica noted a similar accumulation pattern in Dogecoin’s trading against Bitcoin between two significant periods: 2014-2017 and 2021-2026. The analyst suggested that the current price action is not indicative of a long-term downtrend but rather a necessary phase of energy compression before a price rotation. This implies that a breakout could shift market sentiment rapidly, leading to increased risk appetite among traders.

Additionally, the analyst referred to what they termed a “fractal loading,” suggesting that Dogecoin is positioned to play a crucial role in the upcoming altcoin cycle. This phase typically follows a period of multi-year compression against Bitcoin, which historically results in a volatility squeeze. Such conditions often precede a substantial capital shift from Bitcoin to altcoins, which could benefit Dogecoin significantly.

Another analyst, Bitcoinsensus, also weighed in on Dogecoin’s potential trajectory, suggesting that a rally to $0.70 could be on the horizon. This analysis is based on observed price movements throughout the current bull cycle, where Dogecoin has demonstrated a pattern of gradual upward movement followed by slight retracements. If the momentum in the broader crypto market strengthens, this could further support the possibility of Dogecoin reaching the $0.70 target.

From author

The current conditions surrounding Dogecoin’s RSI and historical price patterns invite a closer examination of market dynamics. Analysts are drawing parallels to past performance and highlighting the potential for significant price movements. As traders and investors monitor these developments, understanding the implications of oversold conditions and accumulation patterns will be essential for making informed decisions.

Impact on the crypto market

  • The entry of Dogecoin into historically oversold RSI levels could trigger increased buying interest among investors.
  • Historical patterns suggest that significant price rallies may follow, potentially leading to broader market momentum.
  • Analysts’ attention on Dogecoin may shift focus and capital from Bitcoin to altcoins, influencing overall market dynamics.
  • The potential psychological milestone of $1 could serve as a key target for traders, impacting sentiment and trading strategies.
  • The upcoming altcoin cycle, as suggested by analysts, could lead to increased volatility and capital rotation, affecting many cryptocurrencies in the market.
Source: NewsBTC (RSS)

Updated: 1/17/2026, 12:33:59 PM

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